Category Archives: Housing Market Intelligence

News or information regarding Arizona housing market.

Gilbert and Chandler made to the top list of American Safest Cities

According to WalletHub, the list of 2018’s Safest Cities in America includes Gilbert, Chandler, Scottsdale, and Peoria landed in the top 25.

  • Gilbert is topping them all to rank as the sixth-safest city in the U.S.
  • Chandler was ranked No. 12.
  • Scottsdale was No. 15.
  • Peoria ranked No. 22.

Other Valley cities fared relatively well in the 180-city ranking, including Glendale (No. 47), Mesa (No. 40), Tempe (No. 35), Phoenix (No. 120), and Tucson (No. 157).

The rankings were compiled based on 39 safety indicators, ranging from assaults per capita to unemployment rate to road quality as well as active firefighters per capita.

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Best Time to Buy a Home

Many would-be homebuyers assume that spring and summer are the best times to buy a new house. After all, the kids are out of school, the weather’s nice and it seems like that’s when all the inventory hits the market. Why not use the nice weather and extra time to your advantage?

In reality, though, winter can be a favorable time to buy. From fewer bidding wars to a faster, easier closing, here’s what buying a house in winter can offer:

  • Lower Prices: There’s often lower demand in winter. Sellers will typically have to work harder to sell their homes during this season. That means price cuts, more concessions and maybe even some extra negotiation room for you.
  • Less Competition: Fewer people buy in the winter, and that often means a smoother homebuying process. You’re also less likely to contend with cash buyers and bidding wars, making it easier to get into the home you want.
  • Faster Timeline: All of the above means a potentially faster, more efficient closing. With fewer buyers to handle, inspectors, appraisers and agents are more likely to be able to work on your timeline. Movers, handymen and home cleaning services may also have more availability.
  • Better mortgage interest rate: We al know the rates are on the rise. It’s 4.875% this Thanksgiving season. Most certainly it will be above 5% starting 2019. It’s time to jump off the fence and act before spring comes.

These are just a few of the benefits of buying in this winter.

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Arizona Economic Indicators

Some economic indicators to share with you all…

So far FY 2018, Arizona ranks –
5th among the states for personal income gains,
6th for gross state product or output and
7th for job creation.

Worth to note, Arizona ranked in 2017
6th for population growth and
5th for domestic in-migration.

Arizona’s jobless rate, now at 4.7 percent, could ease to 3.9 percent by the end of 2019.

Despite the improvements mentioned above, Arizona still has catching up to do in some respects. For example, the state’s per capita personal income of $42,280 in 2017 ranked 43rd among the states and Washington, D.C. Yet this is also the momentum helping Arizona moving ahead in many other economic indicators.

Job growth has accelerated in recent months, with Arizona likely to add about 72,000 net jobs in 2018, up from 63,900 last year, and 71,000 in 2019.

Arizona’s population, now at 7 million, is expected to grow 1.6 percent in 2018 and 1.5 percent 2019, adding a bit more than 100,000 residents both years, as also happened in 2017.

People want to move to Arizona, they want to move to Phoenix, and they need housing.

As a caveat, housing prices in the Phoenix metro area have risen more than twice as fast as wages, pointing to a widening affordability gap that is starting to slow home sales and construction, along with higher interest rates.

However, the risks of a construction-fueled bust appear lower than in 2006, near the end of the last economic boom. Construction employment accounted for 9 percent of all Arizona jobs back then; it’s 5.7 percent today.

Higher home prices also are causing more people to rent, and apartment demand is high in parts of the Valley.

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Mortgage Rates – Nov 7, 2018

CONVENTIONAL
30 Yr 4.875 to 5.125 APR 5.573
15 Yr 4.5 to 4.75 APR 5.125

JUMBO & ARMS
5 Yr Call Me On Rate
7 Yr Call Me On Rate

FHA/VA/USDA
30 Yr 4.75 APR 5.897
15 Yr 4.25 APR 5.53

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Market Snapshots – Oct 2018

Metro Phoenix housing market continues doing well. All indicators are positive except the inventory getting lower.

  • Median Home Sales Price : $261,000 up 6.53%
  • Median Price per Square Foot : $151.00 up 7.86%
  • Sold above Asking Price : 16.4% up 3.8%
  • Median DOM : 41 down 4.65%
  • Inventory : 2.6 Months down 7.14%
  • Monthly Home Sales : 6,961 down 4.5%
  • New Listings : 8,211 down 8.5%

All % of changes are compared to Oct 2017.

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Chandler Schools Top Public High Schools in Arizona

Based on 2016 SAT scores, these are the top 25 high schools and all 5 high schools in the Chandler Unified School District are on the list. They are highlighted below —

1. University High School: 1332, Tucson Unified
2. AZ College Prep-Erie Campus: 1285, Chandler Unified
3. Gilbert Classical Academy: 1284, Gilbert Unified
4. Hamilton High School: 1252, Chandler Unified
5. Flagstaff High School: 1236, Flagstaff Unified
6. Sunnyslope High School: 1228, Glendale Union
7. Catalina Foothills High School: 1216, Catalina Foothills Unified
8. Ironwood High School: 1201, Peoria Unified
9. Paradise Valley High School: 1207, Paradise Valley Unified
10. Perry High School: 1203, Chandler Unified
11. Desert Mountain High School: 1200, Scottsdale Unified
12. Chandler High School: 1194, Chandler Unified
13. DEsert Vista High School: 1191, Tempe Union
14. University High School: 1187, Tolleson Union
15. Deer Valley High School: 1187, Deer Valley Unified
16. Ironwood Ridge High School: 1187, Amphitheater Unified
17. Catcus High School: 1183, Peoria Unified
18. Empire High School: 1182, Vail Unified
19. Horizon High School: 1181, Paradise VAlley Unified
20. Lee Williams High School: 1181, Kingman Unified
21. Mountain View High School: 1181, Mesa Unified
22. Benson High School: 1179, Benson Unified
23. Red Mountain High School: 1178, Mesa Unified
24. Basha High School: 1177, Chandler Unified
25. Fountain Hills High School: 1176, Fountain Hills Unified

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2019 Best School Districts in the metro Phoenix

The 2019 Best School Districts ranking is based on rigorous analysis of key statistics and millions of reviews from students and parents using data from the U.S. Department of Education. Ranking factors include state test scores, college readiness, graduation rates, SAT/ACT scores, teacher quality, public school district ratings, and more. Read more on how this ranking was calculated.

#1 Best School Districts in Phoenix Area – Chandler Unified School district #80

Here is the rest of the survey result …

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East Valley Continues to Grow

East Valley sees more business hiring, relocations in the first half of 2018. Nearly 4,600 job announcements during the first half of the year, most of which are the result of companies choosing to relocate to the area.

Among them, Deloitte’s announcement of a $50 million capital investment in a 100,000-square-foot delivery center that will create up to 2,500 jobs in Gilbert and Wells Fargo’s aim to increase its Chandler workforce from 5,000 to 6,200 drove some of the largest increases. While AQST Space Systems, On Q Financial, San Francisco-based Bright Benefit Inc. and many others are hiring.

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ARMLS Rent Check™ – August, 2018

For the month of August 2018, all RENT Check indicators indeed reached the plateau.

Median Lease: $1,495 – Remained at $1,495 level as previous month.
Average Lease: $1,670 – Decreased slightly from $1,679 previous month.
Avg. Days on Market: 26 – Increased again from 25 days of the previous month.
Closed Rental: 2,242 – Surprisingly, this indicator increased from 2,203 homes the previous month.

Rent Check Quotient™: 3:10 – Rental supplies remains flat as last month.

Rent Check Quotient™ (RCQ™) is the ratio of closed rentals and closed sales.

Every summer, June, July, and August are the peaks of the rental market whereas the housing market starts to cool down. We expect to see weaker Rent Check™ indicators to come.

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ARMLS Rent Check™ – July, 2018

For the month of July 2018, all RENT Check indicators seem like reaching the plateau.

Median Lease: $1,495 – Increased slightly from $1,485 previous month.
Average Lease: $1,679 – Increased slightly from $1,670 previous month.
Avg. Days on Market: 25 – Increased slightly from 24 days of the previous month.
Closed Rental: 2,203 – Decreased slightly from 2,228 homes the previous month.

Rent Check Quotient™: 3:10 – Rental supplies remains flat as last month.

Rent Check Quotient™ (RCQ™) is the ratio of closed rentals and closed sales.

Every summer, June, July, and August are the peaks of the rental market whereas the housing market starts to cool down. We expect to see stronger Rent Check™ indicators to come.

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